It’s been a stressful week watching the polls as the presidential race continues to tighten and the media in my opinion continues to apply a double standard when it comes to how they cover Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.
For over a month now I’ve been looking at the New York Times’Upshot polls where they aggregate the analysis by the data modelers and forecasters, and trying to get their consensus opinion. I call it Aggregating the Presidential Aggregators, and I also have a weekly companion diary for Aggregating the Senate Aggregators.
As a quick recap: the New York Timescollects data from data modelers (the New York Times, FiveThirtyEight, DailyKos, and the Princeton Election Consortium), knowledgeable experts (the Cook Political Report,Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball), and PredictWise’s betting markets data. I then aggregate all of that to see what the state-by-state consensus is.
Seven states had movement this week, none in our favor. They still show Clinton with an Electoral College majority without Tossups, but barely.